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Report: Dallas-Fort Worth home prices rise; U.S. values plunge

10:11 PM CDT on Thursday, May 22, 2008

By STEVE BROWN / The Dallas Morning News
stevebrown@dallasnews.com

Dallas-Fort Worth home prices are still edging higher, according to a new federal estimate.

The latest nationwide home price report from the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight conflicts with private industry statistics that show first-quarter home prices fell slightly in North Texas.

Federal researchers say that overall, Dallas-area housing prices rose 3.76 percent in the first quarter compared with year-earlier levels. Prices were up 0.98 percent from the fourth quarter.

In Fort Worth, prices were up 2.59 percent from a year ago and down 0.22 percent from the end of 2007.

The D-FW gains compare with a 3.1 percent nationwide decline.

Substantial numbers of unsold homes on the market in many U.S. cities are dragging down real estate values, analysts said.

"The large overhang of real estate inventory awaiting sale continues to force price declines in many areas, but particularly in places that had seen very sharp appreciation in previous periods," the agency's chief economist, Patrick Lawler, said in the report.

But in the D-FW area, housing inventories have declined slightly from a year ago, which has reduced downward pressure on prices.

Dr. James Gaines, an economist with Texas A&M University's Real Estate Center, said "falling inventory is a major plus" for the Dallas-Fort Worth market.

Federal analysts said the nationwide decline in home prices was the biggest drop since they began collecting data 17 years ago.

Prices fell in 43 states.

The greatest declines were in California markets, including Merced (down 24.68 percent), Stockton (down 21.51 percent) and Modesto (down 20.96 percent).

Texas cities significantly outperformed most of the nation.

Austin had the fourth-highest annual price increase in the country – up 7.74 percent.

Statewide prices were up 4.7 percent, according to the federal researchers.

Unlike other housing value measures, the agency index doesn't count all homes.

It is a weighted, seasonally adjusted measure of home prices based on data received from Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the government-sponsored mortgage investors.

It doesn't include information on the most expensive homes, priced above $417,000. And it includes information from both home purchases and refinancings.

Real estate analysts say tight financing for higher-priced housing – not counted in the report – has caused a sharp downturn in that sector.

According to the National Association of Realtors, median home prices in the D-FW area fell 2.1 percent in the first quarter from a year ago.

And local statistics from the North Texas Real Estate Information Systems and Texas A&M University's Real Estate Center show that pre-owned home prices here are down 1 percent through April compared with the same period last year.

Estimated median home price changes for first quarter of 2008 compared to same quarter of previous year and change from fourth quarter.
City or area Change vs. last year Change vs. 4Q
BIGGEST INCREASES
Houma-Bayou Cane, La. 11.22% 1.01%
Grand Junction, Col. 9.08% 0.14%
Wentachee, Wash. 8.02% -0.10%
Austin 7.74% 2.33%
Billings, Mont. 7.09% 1.13%
LARGEST DECLINES
Merced, Calif. -24.68% -7.93%
Stockton, Calif. -21.51% -8.66%
Modesto, Calif. -20.96% -8.46%
Naples, Fla. -18.67% -7.76%
Cape Coral-Ft. Myers, Fla. -17.45% -6.14%
U.S. -3.1% -1.7%
TEXAS CITIES
Amarillo 4.93% 0.75%
Beaumont-Port Arthur 6.29% 0.49%
Corpus Christi 2.36% -0.36%
Dallas 3.76% 0.98%
Fort Worth 2.59% -0.22%
El Paso 6.29% 1.62%
Houston 4.38% 1.25%
San Antonio 3.47% -0.86%
SOURCE: Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight
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